Let everyone be very very clear about what's going on in the World Today and the Impact which will be felt by 1 ) Rest of the World & 2) Pakistan & Pakistani's.First of all The Chaos which Started with Tunisia and then started to Spread to Egypt , Yemen, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Syria , Libya etc etc. This chaos was a well thought out operation planned 10-12 years back and then the coordination, strategy and finally the implementation went into being causing this chaos . One can Ask FOR WHAT ? Three Reasons 1) Protection of Israel & the Jews.2) Money as USA is bankrupt and Middle east had stopped Putting its Money in USA for the Past 10 Years ( This Includes Crude Oil & International Prices of Commodities which are also effected).3) Power and Control (Out with the Old who had started to give excuses and in with the New who are easier to command).Just as 9/11 was a US Government Inside Job. This was also done by the Few who Control
Governments.The Effect surprisingly has so far been in-effective for USA & ISRAEL as people like me also know "THE REAL TRUTH" and are spreading this knowledge. I have been threatened a few times and might be one of the missing persons soon enough as i know too much Just Like Dr. Aafia Siddiqui knew too much and was well connected.The Effect on the World is easy and simple as Now everyone should know or if they don't then I will spell it out to everyone. USA is BROKE . G-10 are way Over their Heads in Debt excepting China and Japan.That is where electronic Money/Wire Transfers come into play. ALL IT and things can be controlled at the IT Data Centre. SWIFT Data Centre is in Brussels. Need i say further?. USA has over US$ 16.411 Trillion in Debts and ONLY US$ 399 Billion Gold Reserves (At current Rates). That is why China is now asking for Guarantees and anyone who will put his money would ask for Guarantees considering the US Dollar has been
losing its value for the Past 20 Years. The Effect of this Financial Tsumani will be especially felt by UN , IMF , WORLD BANK , ADB, Europe and ALL Those countries who have their currencies pegged to the US Dollar or who have USA as a Major trading Partner.
One of my Old 08th July 2008 Write-ups forewarning the start of Goof-Ups by the US Government by their "FINANCIAL GURUS/EXPERTS"
THE ALARMING HEALTH OF THE US ECONOMY
The health of U.S. has been on the rocks ever
since the Gramm-Rudmann-Hollings Law was amended/scrapped by President Bush.
The Repercussions on the Consumer/Common man on the street will be felt when
the Debt Servicing gets to above 3 Percent of GDP. which it already is. That
means that a period of recession which we have started. This should last for
another 2 possibly 3 years till 2011
followed inflation will follow for the next 5-7 years finally followed
by a Period of Stagflation possibly 3 years (reason I say Possibly, is because
all these depend on favourable / unfavourable changes of policy
of / from The US Government) i.e. I see Interest rates back
above double digits in 7-10 years. With the economy performing poorly. Proper
Recession should show its indication from 2009. Therefore Outflow of
investments should pick up speed 2009 onwards. Strikes / Bankruptcies to double
in the next 5 years. Unemployment to double in next 5 years. The USD to FALL ,
the Stock market to Fall to 7,000 levels . The banking sector to lead the way
as FDIC doesn't have enough money to
bail out a Top 20 US Bank. The Blame (I Feel) goes ALL to US Congress-Senate
especially PRESIDENT BUSH for his policies to gain Votes and popularity NOW at
the cost of the Future of the US People as the Consumer/Common people in USA
will feel the HIT 5-7 years down the road in a Big way. First Recession
followed by Stagflation after 3-5 years will and should be hitting the economy
in 2009 onwards as the Sub-Prime Mortgage crises is ONLY the forewarning of
worse gloom and doom to follow. Financial Sector (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
will cost the Government over 100 Billion Dollars and this will add to the doom naturally this will be taken
from the Consumers/Common Taxpayer).
UNLESS AND UNTIL THE TWIN DEFICITS ARE CONTROLLED NAMELY
BUDGET AND TRADE DEFICITS THEN IF DEVALUATION OF THE DOLLAR ON A MASSIVE SCALE
PLUS SPENDING CUTS ARE CARRIED OUT THE BALOON WILL BURST SOONER RATHER THAN
LATER SPELLING GLOOM AND DOOM ON A FAR MASSIVE SCALE THAN 1929 (GREAT
DEPRESSION).
So who is going to Bail out the USA ? EU ? World Bank ? IMF ? Japan
? China
? Who ???
Note what I have written down now as Time will tell you IF I
am right or wrong. Today 08 July 2008.
(This is my Personal Analysis and my own working)
Regards
Kamal Khan
Analyst/Consultant
Impact for Pakistan Can be minimal IF corrective measures/Steps are taken.
I am available for Help... Losses will be in US$ Billions and in Europe and USA Trillions.
Signing Off
Kamal Khan
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Thanks a lot.
